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Best. January. Ever.

Best. January. Ever.

January 2019 is making the -8.8% in 2018 feel like a distant memory.

January sign lettering

Since my last post, I’ve received some queries asking about my specific positions. With the CNY break around the corner, I’ve some time to put all this up. Some have asked me why I’m no longer putting up my extensive writeups on stuff that I’ve done DD on. Well, that’s cos I’m mostly working on global equities, particularly US ones, and I don’t think there’s much appetite for that here.

This post was originally posted here. The writer is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as ThumbTackInvestor, with more than 2,000+ followers.

And anyway, I did put up in fact:

11% Returns In A Single Day. Thank You Blue Orca Capital!

TTI: “I’m Sorry, It’s All Over Between Us. I’m Breaking Up With You”

OK, I can’t find the one on DIS right now, but I’m sure it’s somewhere around.

This post is specifically on the US portion of my portfolio, excluding the SG and the bond portions.

Since my last post (1st Post Of 2019.), things have gotten… even better. MUCH better.

I’d have taken a 22.11% return and ended 2019 right there and then. Yet, TTI’s US portfolio continued outperforming S&P and other index benchmarks massively.

 

As of end Jan 2019, the ROI shot up to 28.36%.

NAV rose from USD 441,055.43 to USD 550,988.57, and that’s after a withdrawal of USD 14,716.20 made.

Net quantum gain in Jan 2019 alone was thus USD 124,649.34.

The best 1 day return was on the 04th Jan 2019, when the portfolio gained 7.32% in a single day, while the worst was on the 03rd Jan 2019, when the portfolio fell 4.45% in a single day.

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Don’t make the same mistake that I made 2 decades ago (Guest Post)

Don’t make the same mistake that I made 2 decades ago (Guest Post)

For the calendar year 2018, the Straits Times Index (STI) retreated from 3400.91 at the close of Year 2017 to 3068.76 at the close of Year 2018. The absolute fall for the calendar year 2018 was more than 10%. It had defied the predictions of many analysts.

Many of them were generally bullish at the beginning of Year 2018. By today, on the 1st day of trading for Year 2019, it retreated another nearly 30 points, -29.87 (to be exact). Surely, many players have been slowly but surely cashed out of the market as the market retreated. Even those with cash to spare were not willing to get into the market. Just as we know in economics, there were more sellers than buyers for year 2018. That, precisely, was the reason for the market to fall.

This post was originally posted here. The writer is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as BrennenPak, with more than 3,000+ followers.

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With each market fall, it flushes out some players. The unfortunate thing is market retreats and advances are never linear with time. They are never exactly predictable, especially over a longer of period of 6 months and longer. Market volatilities are due to the changing political, economic and social conditions that are thrown out into the market from time to time. Frankly who is able to predict what an influential political figure will say or act next week or next month or next year. Most of the rise and falls were due to some smart Alex out there trying to anticipate the moves of these people before things really happen. Unfortunately, time and again, it almost always sucks in new players and throw out some others as the market rise and falls in a falling trend. Many players, who were unable to take the market gyrations would have cashed out of the market, and stayed in cash in hope to fight for another day.

Let me say this. Market gyrations are not an easy thing to stomach, especially for those who are very watchful of the market movements. In fact, many are willing to take losses and leave the market instead of riding through the market ups and downs as sentiments get hazy. Along with the falling market, I am quite sure a number of us have this floating thought “I would rather take a small return of even 1-2% to protect my capital than to see my capital dwindling with time.” That precisely became the guiding principle that drives their action. So, instead of staying liquid after cashing out, they choose to put the money into more certain investments. They gladly put their money in longer term plans, such as fixed deposits and Singapore government bonds and even insurance plans that can only yield rewards (if there really are any), at least, 1, 2 years or even a few years down the road. I mention this because I happened to see some posts in social media lately. Some people seemed to have decided to take this course of action. Frankly, this was exactly the mistake that I made 20 years ago.

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AEM dropped 38% over 3 days, many investors got hurt

AEM dropped 38% over 3 days, many investors got hurt

The 2017 top gainer stock has shocked many investors, as the recently plunged caught everyone off-guard.

AEM shown close to 500% gains in year 2017, with the top stock price rallying from $0.13 to $0.83. Earlier this year, we mentioned the top 3 hot stocks with the highest returns in 2017, with AEM as considered one of them. One of our users even made a million dollar holding AEM since vested 3 years ago before closing his position in Feb 2018, we have mentioned him in this post.

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CGS-CIMB downgraded AEM to a target price of $0.69 from $1.19, on 31 Jul 2018.  As of 10.33am, AEM was trading down 22.1 per cent, or 22 Singapore cents, to 77.5 Singapore cents apiece, amid heavy volume of some 18.9 million shares. That put it among the most active stocks.

The company’s stock has erased nearly all the gains it has seen since the start of 2018. It peaked at S$1.90 in mid-March.

As quoted from CGS-CIMB, AEM shown poor visibility for 2019.

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Trump Plans To Impose Tariff From 10% To 25%, What Will Happen To Singapore Market?

Trump Plans To Impose Tariff From 10% To 25%, What Will Happen To Singapore Market?

Why 25% instead of 10%? That’s twice of the initial tariff level!

On July 10 2018, Trump seeked to impose 10% on thousands of Chinese imports. While the tariffs would not be imposed until after a period of public comment, the proposed level was then raised to 25% by Trump – this could escalate the trade dispute between the world’s two biggest economies.

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Economically speaking, we know that by raising its tariff to a higher level simply serves as a motivation to motivate domestic producers to increase production of their output. This results in higher consumer prices, higher producer revenues and profits, and higher government revenues which make tariffs a way to make transaction from consumers to government treasuries effectively.

However, having tariffs begets strong consequences: 1) Cost of production for American companies increases 2) China will retaliate in response.

There are some opinions on the real motive behind imposing tariffs on China – it is more than just attempting to save its own country.

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Hyphens Pharma IPO: Here’s 5 Quick Things You Need to Know

Hyphens Pharma IPO: Here’s 5 Quick Things You Need to Know

This post was original posted on smallcapasia.com and reproduced with permission from the author.

Hyphens Pharma IPO: Here’s 5 Quick Things You Need to Know

Hyphens Pharma is a speciality pharmaceutical and consumer healthcare group with a direct presence in five ASEAN countries, namely, Singapore, Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia, and the Philippines.

The company was incorporated in Dec 2017 as a private company. It sells speciality pharmaceuticals, a proprietary range of dermatological products and health supplement products through Hyphens and Ocean Health Singapore, and medical hypermart and digital supplies.

You can find the prospectus here.

Here Are 5 Quick Things you need to know about the IPO:

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A Sneak Peak at the No Signboard IPO

A Sneak Peak at the No Signboard IPO

Seafood restaurant chain and brewery business group – No Signboard Holdings is seeking a Catalist listing to raise up to $35mil. Based on preliminary information, this could potentially value the company at approximately $130mil.

This post first appeared on ProButterfly.com on 13-Nov-2017 and also on InvestingNote. It was written by our veteran community member, Tam Ging Wien, author of REITs to Riches: Everything You Need to Know About Investing Profitably in REITs.

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Based on information available, ProButterfly understands that No Signboard Holdings is currently in the book building exercise phase to place out its shares.

ProButtefly understands that No Signboard Holdings is targeting a listing by 30-Nov-2017.

The deal size is for 125mil shares at a price range of 23c to 28c per share. This would place its total raised to anywhere in the range of $28.75mil to $35.0mil.

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Analysis of Keppel KBS US REIT IPO

Analysis of Keppel KBS US REIT IPO

A joint-venture (JV) between Keppel Corporation and KBS Pacific Advisors is seeking to raise $448mil in a Singapore initial public offering of Keppel-KBS US REIT (KKREIT).

This post first appeared on ProButterfly.com on 31-Oct-2017 and also on InvestingNote. It was written by our veteran community member, Tam Ging Wien, author of REITs to Riches: Everything You Need to Know About Investing Profitably in REITs.

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The KKREIT is a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) which draws rental income from 11 office properties across 7 major US cities including Seattle, Austin, Houston and Atlanta. The assets are a mix of prime and sub-urban office spaces.

At the time of writing, KKREIT has just lodged a preliminary prospectus for a listing on the Singapore Stock Exchange (SGX) mainboard. There is a total of 262,772,400 (262.77mil) units on offer at a price of US$0.88 per unit. The IPO and trading of the units will be denominated in USD.

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Mapletree Industrial Trust Purchases a Portfolio of 14 USA Data Centres

Mapletree Industrial Trust Purchases a Portfolio of 14 USA Data Centres

You got to hand it to these government linked REITs.

This post first appeared on InvestingNote and was written by our veteran community member, Kyith from Investmentmoats.com.

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A few years ago, Ascendas REIT (5.8% dividend yield on my dividend stock tracker) decides to go forth and venture south to the land of Australia. They went in big, by enlarging their short land lease portfolio by 25% with Australia freehold assets.

They were able to finance such a large acquisition with a combination of rights issue, preferred shares and debt. The net effect is that they managed to lengthen the average land lease of the portfolio, the WALE, added some rental escalation and diversified the geographical region.

Some time ago this year, Mapletree Industrial REIT (6% dividend yield) announced that they would like to expand their mandate to manage data centers.

This evening, Mapletree Industrial REIT announced that they will be purchasing 14 data centers in the USA from the Target Portfolio of Carter Validus Mission Critical REIT.

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FoodEmpire Holdings Ltd’s Business: A Complete Analysis

FoodEmpire Holdings Ltd’s Business: A Complete Analysis

This post on FoodEmpire was first posted here in InvestingNote, by one of our veteran community members SmallCapAsia.

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NAME: Food Empire Holdings Limited 

TICKER: SGX: F03 $Food Empire(F03.SI)
MARKET CAP: SGD 317.5 Million (As of 29 Sep 2017)

MARKET PRICE / SHARE: SGD 0.595 (As of 29 Sep 2017)

SECTOR: Consumer Products

INDUSTRY: Instant Beverage & Food Ingredient

COMPANY PROFILE (Excerpt from Company’s Website):

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SGX Mainboard-listed Food Empire Holdings (FoodEmpire) is a global branding and manufacturing company in the food and  beverage sector. Its products include instant beverage products, frozen convenience food, confectionery and snack food.

FoodEmpire’s products are sold to over 50 countries, in markets such as Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Central Asia, China, Indochina, the Middle East, Mongolia and the US. The Group has 24 offices (representative and liaison) worldwide. The Group operates nine manufacturing facilities in India, Malaysia, Myanmar, Russia, Ukraine and Vietnam.

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ComfortDelGro(C52.SI): Grow or No Grow?

ComfortDelGro(C52.SI): Grow or No Grow?

ComfortDelgro will be announcing its 2Q result tomorrow on 11th August.

This column is written by @j_chou from InvestingNote.com.
@J_chou has an interest in global macro trends, financial markets and equity research and enjoys applying a combination of the three in his investments. His eventual investing goal is to manage a risk parity portfolio and achieve true financial freedom.

A component of the STI, Comfort Delgro was once championed as a stable dividend paying stock with a strong economic moat. Recent disruptions in the taxi industry have since changed that view, causing the stock to tumble to its 52-week low despite a relatively muted 1Q17 earnings report. Investors were likely concerned with the falling revenue and operating profits, mostly attributed to the decline from the taxi segment. The share price has since recovered slightly from its 52-week low to $2.310, but there is still an opportunity to capitalize on the negative sentiments towards the company. In this article I will look to determine whether Comfort Delgro is ripe for a contrarian play by assessing its long-term prospects from a bullish, neutral and bearish perspective for the next 5-10 years.

Comfort Delgro: Much more than just a taxi company

The distinct blue and yellow taxis that peppers the streets of Singapore may cause investors to mistake Comfort Delgro as primarily a taxi company.

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