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FREE Seminar: Market Outlook 2019 with High Dividend Blue Chip Stocks

FREE Seminar: Market Outlook 2019 with High Dividend Blue Chip Stocks

Join us for this FREE Seminar: Market Outlook 2019 with High Dividend Blue Chip Stocks, happening on 5th March, Tuesday 6.30pm – 10pm!

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In this stock investment seminar, @Dr_Tee will teach the powerful methods step by step, how to select strong global blue chip stocks, then wait patiently for different levels of crisis to buy at low price, holding for dividend income, then finally selling at high price for capital gains.

Key learning points include:
✔ How to generate consistent passive income and high capital gains with REITs & high dividend blue chip stocks
✔ Time for golden opportunity to buy blue chip stocks during global financial crisis
✔ What to buy (stock screening), When to buy/sell (buy low sell high), How much to buy/sell (risk management) for global blue chip stocks
✔ Fundamental Analysis (FA) + Technical Analysis (TA) + Personal Analysis (PA), integrated with unique Optimism Strategies
✔ How to take actions (Buy, Hold, Sell, Wait, Short), matching with own personality
✔ Master the investment clocks of Year 2019 for entries and exits of different asset classes (stocks, properties, commodities, forex, bonds)

Date: 5 Mar 2019 (Tue)

Time: 6:30pm – 10pm (registration starts from 6pm)

Cost: Free

Venue: 137 Cecil Street, Level 4, Hengda Building, Singapore 069537

Limited seats. First come, first serve basis.

Register now, come later!

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Don’t make the same mistake that I made 2 decades ago (Guest Post)

Don’t make the same mistake that I made 2 decades ago (Guest Post)

For the calendar year 2018, the Straits Times Index (STI) retreated from 3400.91 at the close of Year 2017 to 3068.76 at the close of Year 2018. The absolute fall for the calendar year 2018 was more than 10%. It had defied the predictions of many analysts.

Many of them were generally bullish at the beginning of Year 2018. By today, on the 1st day of trading for Year 2019, it retreated another nearly 30 points, -29.87 (to be exact). Surely, many players have been slowly but surely cashed out of the market as the market retreated. Even those with cash to spare were not willing to get into the market. Just as we know in economics, there were more sellers than buyers for year 2018. That, precisely, was the reason for the market to fall.

This post was originally posted here. The writer is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as BrennenPak, with more than 3,000+ followers.

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With each market fall, it flushes out some players. The unfortunate thing is market retreats and advances are never linear with time. They are never exactly predictable, especially over a longer of period of 6 months and longer. Market volatilities are due to the changing political, economic and social conditions that are thrown out into the market from time to time. Frankly who is able to predict what an influential political figure will say or act next week or next month or next year. Most of the rise and falls were due to some smart Alex out there trying to anticipate the moves of these people before things really happen. Unfortunately, time and again, it almost always sucks in new players and throw out some others as the market rise and falls in a falling trend. Many players, who were unable to take the market gyrations would have cashed out of the market, and stayed in cash in hope to fight for another day.

Let me say this. Market gyrations are not an easy thing to stomach, especially for those who are very watchful of the market movements. In fact, many are willing to take losses and leave the market instead of riding through the market ups and downs as sentiments get hazy. Along with the falling market, I am quite sure a number of us have this floating thought “I would rather take a small return of even 1-2% to protect my capital than to see my capital dwindling with time.” That precisely became the guiding principle that drives their action. So, instead of staying liquid after cashing out, they choose to put the money into more certain investments. They gladly put their money in longer term plans, such as fixed deposits and Singapore government bonds and even insurance plans that can only yield rewards (if there really are any), at least, 1, 2 years or even a few years down the road. I mention this because I happened to see some posts in social media lately. Some people seemed to have decided to take this course of action. Frankly, this was exactly the mistake that I made 20 years ago.

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S&P500 has slumped 13.7% in Dec, largest percentage fall since 1931! Has the bull market ended? (Guest Post)

S&P500 has slumped 13.7% in Dec, largest percentage fall since 1931! Has the bull market ended? (Guest Post)

This post was originally posted here. The writer is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as el15, with 200+ followers.

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Dear all

After hitting an intra-day high of 2,941 on 21 Sep 2018, S&P500 has tumbled 17.9% or 525 points to close 2,416 on 21 Dec 2018. In fact, S&P500 has just logged the worst monthly performance in Dec since 1931! Dow has also fallen 3,535 points from the intraday high of 25,980 on 3 Dec 2018 and 4,507 points from the intraday high of 26,952 on 3 Oct 2018. What is happening? Is Armageddon coming?

Most things have not changed since 21 Sep, except for…

In Sep, when S&P500 hit 2,940, the usual concerns were also there, namely trade tensions; U.S. 10Y treasury yields above 3%; Brexit; concerns on Europe; peak in earnings growth in U.S. market; slowing global growth etc. Since then, nothing much has changed except that

a) Part of the yield curve has inverted

On 3 Dec 2018, the yield curve for U.S. 3Y note and U.S. 5Y note inverted. According to the chief economist of North America at The Conference Board, he wrote in an article posted on MarketWatch 10 Dec 2018 that from the time that the above yield curve inverts, a recession typically starts from nine to 69 months, with an average of 27 months (i.e. more than 2 years).

For the more closely watched indicator i.e. the spread between the 10-year note and the 2-year note, it is still positive and not inverted. Although the spread between the 10-year note and the 2-year note has been narrowing / flattening, some strategists have noted that a flat curve can last for years and the economy can still be strong. According to an article by BMO Capital Markets in June 2018, BMO found that the S&P 500 has appreciated an average 12.3% when the yield curve was flattening vis-à-vis a 7.9% gain amid a steepening yield curve for all periods since 1980. In addition, BMO found that the S&P 500 can still rise an average 14.3% during the later stages of flattening cycles (from 50 bps to 0 bps).

b) U.S. and China have agreed on a trade truce for 90 days

U.S. and China have agreed on a “cease fire of sorts” on trade for 90 days. Notwithstanding the arrest of Huawei’s CFO in Canada and other negative headline news, it seems that China and U.S are still making some progress on the trade front post the dinner between President Trump and President Xi (i.e. it seems relatively better now than in Sep on the trade front)

c) U.S. 10Y treasury yields have dropped from >3% to 2.79%

U.S. 10Y treasury yields have dropped from >3% in Sep 2018 to 2.79% on 21 Dec 2018. This seems to be a net positive for stocks as this may reduce long term borrowing costs and increases the appeal of equities vis-à-vis bonds.

Has the bull market ended?

Nasdaq has slipped into a bear market with the 3% drop on last Fri. Most readers will be wondering whether the 9 or 10 year bull market has ended.

According to most strategists, the equity bull market typically ends when some of the conditions happen. For simplicity, I only list three conditions below (i.e. the list is not exhaustive).

a) Inverted yield curve

As per above, the yield curve is flattening but has not inverted yet. According to Blackstone, they do not believe that the yield curve is going to invert soon.

b) Negative earnings growth

It is common knowledge that 2018 likely marks the peak in earnings growth for U.S. corporates. However, it is noteworthy that a peak in earnings growth in 2018 does not necessarily mean a decline in earnings in 2019. For CY 2019, based on Factset, analysts estimate earnings growth of 8.3% and revenue growth of 5.5%.

Chart 1: Earnings and revenue growth in 2019

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Mid Year Market Outlook and Education Seminar

Mid Year Market Outlook and Education Seminar

This is a special seminar on outlook of the market, as well as an education seminar on trading.

It’s June…the middle of the year 2018. The STI and the general stock market has been trending sideways, amidst volatility.

Market volatility has been incredibly increased since early 2018. We have seen two round of sell down already, one in early Feb and one in late March. Dow dropped 12.3% from historical high within short period of time.

During volatile times, should you be selling, buying or holding?

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Presented by Dr. Robin Han @robinhan, this is a crucial mid-year market outlook as well as an educational seminar on trading.

SG’s 4th Telco…and Fed Raises the Rate!

SG’s 4th Telco…and Fed Raises the Rate!

2 major news happened this week: 1. TPG wins bid to become the 4th Telco and 2. US has increased interest rates!

TPG is 4th Official Telco

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TPG has won the bid to become the 4th telco, ousting out competition such as Circles.life and MyRepublic. A new entrant in the oligopolistic market for telecommunications, might just shake up the market share for the Big 3 telcos of Singapore.

However, the question is now to what extent is TPG going to shake up the market share?

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