Patience Is Required For Alibaba And JD.com (guestpost)

Patience Is Required For Alibaba And JD.com (guestpost)

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Brian Halim is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @3Fs and has 2,000+ followers.

I thought I’ll pen down my thoughts after receiving a number of emails this week from various sources asking for guidance on two big China cap names – Alibaba and JD.com – both of which have seen shares plummeting each day for the past few consecutive weeks.

Many readers would also know that I own Alibaba shares from my last monthly update and have also recently written a piece on JD analysis so it’s something which I’ll walk the talk.

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE: Baba)

alibaba-image-blog

Let’s start with Baba first.

This is probably the most hated large cap company right now in the entire planet.

The entire saga started when the intention to list Ant IPO was shelved and the State Administration for Market Regulators went to investigate the entire company’s holding structure.

Since then, the State of Administration has concluded by fining the company US$2.8billion – which the company chose to take in the Q4 FY2021 report announced last night.

The entire saga has shed the company 37% (more than 1/3) of its market cap from the peak – which in my opinion is a bit overdone. The RSI indicator confirmed the same by showing that the counter is currently in oversold territory.

If we look at the results announced yesterday, total revenue for the quarter was RMB 717 billion, an increase of 41% year on year.

The growth was driven by robust revenue growth of the China commerce retail business (Taobao, Tmall) and the continued growth of its cloud computing business.

Total adjusted EBITDA was RMB 170 billion, which is an increase of 24% year on year. There was the one-off adjustment from the anti-monopoly fine which was taken in the quarter, so it pushed the net comprehensive income for the quarter to negative loss territory.

Cash position remains solid at RMB 479 million with free cash flow coming in strongly at 32% to RMB 173 million.

During the conference call held yesterday, management has reiterated its intention to continue investing in R&D and also new seed of businesses such as Taobao Deals (which aims for the lowest of the market segment tiers), Taobao Grocery, Freshippo supermarket (which is the community marketplace business) and new features on the core platform such as Taobao Live and short-form video. The company is also enhancing its logistics arms, CaiNiao to give its competitors such as JD a good run for their money.

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Upcoming LIVE Webinar: Are Old Economy Stocks Back In Favour?

Upcoming LIVE Webinar: Are Old Economy Stocks Back In Favour?

As global vaccines are being rolled out, the possibility of a speedy recovery of the global economy and life returning to ‘normal’ increased. This has stirred up interest in the long-ignored value stocks. Hence, investments have started to rotate from the new economy to the old economy. For example, the MSCI China banks index has outperformed the MSCI China index by 25%-pts over the last two months.

However around Asia, there is a resurgence in COVID-19 cases, are we really out of the woods?
What are the bright spots and potential dark ones investors should look at and avoid on the back of the vaccine hope?

Join us for this exclusive LIVE webinar happening on 25th May, 8 – 9 PM.

csop-webinar-old-econ
This time, we have 2 distinguished guests:

Chi-man Wong is the Head of Research at China Galaxy International (CGI). He focuses on strategy research and covers the building materials and brokerage sectors.Industry Experience: He has 18 years of experience in the equity research industry. Prior to joining CGI in 2012, he worked as an analyst in both Chinese and foreign investment banks, including Phillip Securities,Everbright Securities, and Piper Jaffray Asia.

Adrian Chew is the Vice President, Sales and Product Strategy (S.E.A) at CSOP. At CSOP Asset Management, Adrian oversees ETF investment solutions for Brokers, Wealth Managers, and Family Offices in Singapore. Adrian is also part of a team responsible for developing sales strategy and strategic partnerships with institutions in South East Asia. Prior to joining CSOP Asset Management, he worked for RHB Asset Management where he was a Business Development Manager for mass and affluent Investors, Wealth Managers, and Intermediaries. Before that, Adrian was working for Phillip Securities and CGS-CIMB Securities in various roles, including equity advisory sales and trading, Business and Product Development.

Register now!

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EC World REIT’s Q1 FY2021 Results (guestpost)

EC World REIT’s Q1 FY2021 Results (guestpost)

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Lim Jun Yuan is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @ljunyuan and has close to 2,000 followers.

China-based logistics REIT, EC World REIT (SGX:BWCU) released its financial results for the first quarter of the financial year 2021 ended 31 March 2021 after market hours yesterday (11 May 2021.)

The REIT is one of the few that has continued to report its full financial results, along with payout a distribution to its unitholders on a quarterly basis – both of which are something I appreciate as a unitholder.

In this post, you will find key highlights about the logistics REIT’s latest financial results, debt and portfolio occupancy profile, and distribution payouts, along with my personal thoughts to share.

Let’s begin…

Financial Results (Q1 FY2020 vs. Q1 FY2021)

Q1 FY2020 Q1 FY2021 % Variance
Gross Revenue
(S$’mil)
$23.5m $30.8m +30.9%
Property Operating
Expenses (S$’mil)
$2.4m $3.1m +30.3%
Net Property
Income (S$’mil)
$21.1m $27.7m +30.9%
Distributable
Income to
Unitholders (S$’mil)
$9.3m $12.4m +32.9%

From the table above, you can tell that the REIT’s latest quarter results was an improved one across the board.

The improvements in its gross revenue and net property income can be attributed to the absence of rental rebates given out to tenants to help them mitigate the negative impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic in the same time period last year, along with the Chinese Renminbi strengthening by 3.5%.

In-line with the improvements in its gross revenue and net property income, the REIT’s distributable income to unitholders also increased by a similar percentage.

Debt Profile (Q4 FY2020 vs. Q1 FY2021)

Next, let us take a look at the REIT’s latest debt profile (recorded for the first quarter of FY2021 ended 31 March 2021), compared against that recorded in the previous quarter three months ago (i.e. Q4 FY2020 ended 31 December 2020) to find out whether it has improved, remained consistent, or deteriorated:

Q4 FY2020 Q1 FY2021
Aggregate Leverage
(%)
38.1% 38.3%
Interest Coverage
Ratio (times)
2.62x 2.79x
Average Term to
Debt Maturity (years)
1.6 years 1.4 years
Average Cost of
Debt (%)
4.2% 4.1%

My Observations: Personally, I felt that the REIT’s debt profile for the current quarter under review, compared to the previous quarter 3 months ago, was a mixed bag – first, the positives (in my opinion): a slight decrease in its average cost of debt, along with its interest coverage increasing slightly; the negatives: its aggregate leverage edging up slightly, along with its average term to debt maturity (which is now at 1.4 years, from 1.6 years in the previous quarter.)

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Which Singapore-Listed Bank Had the Most Resilient Set of Q1 FY2021 Results? (guest post)

Which Singapore-Listed Bank Had the Most Resilient Set of Q1 FY2021 Results? (guest post)

Which Singapore-Listed Bank Had the Most Resilient Set of Q1 FY2021 Results?

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Lim Jun Yuan is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @ljunyuan and has close to 2,000 followers.

All 3 Singapore-listed banks (in DBS, UOB, and OCBC) have reported their business updates for the first quarter of the financial year 2021 ended 31 March 2021.

As a shareholder of all 3 banks, I have reviewed and posted a summary when their results were released. In case you’ve missed out, you can find them below:dbs-bank-blog-imageDBS: https://www.thesingaporeaninvestor.sg/2021/05/04/dbs-group-holdings-q1-fy2021-business-updates-key-highlights-and-my-thoughts/

uob-bank-blog-imageUOB: https://www.thesingaporeaninvestor.sg/2021/05/06/my-review-of-uobs-latest-q1-fy2021-business-update/

Views of OCBC Bank Branches Ahead Of EarningsOCBC: https://www.thesingaporeaninvestor.sg/2021/05/07/overseas-chinese-banking-corporations-q1-fy2020-business-update-key-highlights-and-thoughts/

In this post, I’ll be putting the 3 banks’ key financial results, as well as its key financial ratios side-by-side to find out which one had the strongest set of results for the current quarter under review. Also, you’ll learn about which bank is currently the ‘cheapest’ based on its current valuations.

Let’s begin…

Key Financial Results (Q1 FY2020 vs. Q1 FY2021)

In this section, you will find a comparison of the 3 banks’ key financial results for the first quarter of the financial year 2021 ended 31 March 2021, compared against that reported in the same time period last year – i.e. first quarter of the financial year 2020 ended 31 March 2020:

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DBS Group Holdings’ Q1 FY2021 Business Updates – Key Highlights and My Thoughts (guest post)

DBS Group Holdings’ Q1 FY2021 Business Updates – Key Highlights and My Thoughts (guest post)

The biggest bank in Singapore, and also a company in my long-term investment portfolio (you can check out a list of companies I have invested in here), DBS Group Holdings Limited (SGX:D05), released its business updates for the first quarter of the financial year 2021 ended 31 March 2021 last Friday (30 April 2021) before market hours.

As the bank have shifted to half-yearly reporting since last year, for the current quarter under review, the bank only presented a summary of its financial performance. However, in terms of its dividend payout, it is still paying out its shareholders on a quarterly basis.

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Lim Jun Yuan is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @ljunyuan and has close to 2,000 followers.

In this post, you will finds key aspects about its latest business updates to take note of, along with my personal thoughts about it as a shareholder of the Singapore bank to share…

Financial Performance (Q1 FY2020 vs. Q1 FY2021)

Q1 FY2020 Q1 FY2021 % Variance
– Net Interest
Income (S$’mil)
$2,482m $2,107m -15.1%
– Net Fee &
Commission Income
(S$’mil)
$832m $953m +14.5%
– Other Non-Interest
Income (S$’mil)
$712m $794m +11.5%
Total Income
(S$’mil)
$1,553m $1,587m +2.0%
Net Profit
(S$’mil)
$1,165m $2,009m +72.4%

On the whole, I must say that DBS’ latest set of results is largely an improved one compared to the same time period last year.

What stood out among the financial figures reported was its 72.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) jump in its net profit, which was the first time its quarterly earnings crossed above the S$2b mark – this can be attributed to a 14.5% growth in its net fee and commission income to a new high of S$953m (from improvements in its wealth management fees by 24% to a record of S$519m as strong investor sentiment drove demand across a wide range of investment products in a low interest rate environment, a 10% growth in its transaction service fees to a new high of S$230m as trade finance and cash management fees grew), as well as a 11.5% improvement in its other non-interest income, which was contributed by an increase in its trading income as Treasury Markets non-interest income and treasury customer income rose to new highs.

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5 Reasons to Invest in the LionGlobal Dynamic Growth: Asian Perspective Portfolio (guest post)

5 Reasons to Invest in the LionGlobal Dynamic Growth: Asian Perspective Portfolio (guest post)

Lion Global Investors (“Lion Global”) – one of Asia’s leading asset management companies, has recently announced the launch of their latest managed portfolio –LionGlobal Dynamic Growth: Asian Perspective, exclusively available through Saxo Markets’ platforms.

 This post was originally posted here. The writer, Brian Halim is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @3Fs and has 2,000+ followers.

Led by experienced professionals and portfolio managers, the Lion Global Investors’ Curated Portfolios team has curated a globally diversified multi-asset portfolio designed with an Asian lens. This means the portfolio retains its global characteristics but provides an additional strategic exposure to China, broad Asia and the Emerging Markets as key sources of future yield and growth potential.

Previously, Saxo Markets’ other managed portfolios were created with other industry leading names such as BlackRock, Nasdaq Dorsey Wright, Morningstar and Brown Advisory.

The new portfolio is suitable for investors who are looking to achieve superior risk-adjusted returns ensuring risks taken are commensurate with potential returns, particularly in industry and geographical sectors that will be booming in the next few years.

In this article, I have listed 5 reasons why the LionGlobal Dynamic Growth: Asian Perspective portfolio might be suitable for you:

1.) Globally Diversified Portfolio With Targeted Exposure to Asia and the Emerging Markets

The portfolio comprises of nine best-in-class mutual funds and low-cost ETFs and is managed dynamically by investment professionals so its composition can change and respond to market events.

The Curated Portfolios team uses open architecture when selecting funds. Therefore, they can select any fund available on Saxo Markets’ platform. Lion Global does not receive trailer fees from any of the fund managers of funds selected in the portfolio and this allows them to remain objective in their fund selection process.

The portfolio is well diversified across major asset classes (Equities/Fixed Income/Commodities) and Regions (Developed markets/Emerging markets/US/Europe/Asia). Leveraging on Lion’s Global’s expertise in Asian markets, the Asian lens means there is additional strategic exposure to China, broad Asia and the Emerging Markets as key sources of future yield and growth potential compared to a typical global portfolio that may have less weighting to these regions as they tend to lean more towards the US and European equities and fixed income.

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Upcoming LIVE Webinar: How Investors Can Beat The Market Tomorrow: ​ Ask A Portfolio Manager Today

Upcoming LIVE Webinar: How Investors Can Beat The Market Tomorrow: ​ Ask A Portfolio Manager Today

How Investors Can Beat The Market Tomorrow? Here’s your chance to ask a Portfolio Manager Today!

Register here: http://bit.ly/3uZePM…

phillip-webinar-copy
The last decade saw an exponential acceleration in technological advancement. What will the next 5 years, or even the next decade look like from today?

In this webinar, we’d be asking Ryan Tan, a portfolio manager from Phillip Securities (A member of PhillipCapital), this vital question.

Hear from an active Portfolio Manager – on how he invests for both the mid and long-term, his key investing principles and his past performance.

He will also be sharing how he identifies growth companies for his portfolio in the long run – including some names in the Electric Vehicle (EV) sector.

Don’t miss this exclusive webinar where insights are shared directly by a Portfolio Manager. This is also your chance to ask Ryan questions during the Q&A.

Date: 28th Apr Wednesday
Time: 8 – 9PM

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Ryan Tan is a Portfolio Manager at PhillipCapital (MAS Rep No: TML300119869) with over 25 years of investment experience. He is a mechanical engineer by training with real-life global industries experience. He joined Phillip Securities under one of their pro-trader scheme and was appointed as a Fund Management Representative in 2017.


InvestingNote is the most interactive social network for investors in Malaysia & Singapore. Find out more about us here.

Download our free app here:

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Also, join our telegram channel here: t.me/investingnoteofficial

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1st Quarter 2021 Report. Happy 5 year anniversary (guest post)

1st Quarter 2021 Report. Happy 5 year anniversary (guest post)

1st Quarter 2021 Report. Happy 5 year anniversary

YTD Performance: +28.45%
Performance since Inception: +4600%(?) There are some price data missing so the app calculated those with just last transaction price i made. The time weighted gain probably is not that accurate.

This post was originally posted here. The writer @vincentwong10, is a community member and blogger on InvestingNote with 700 followers.

Image 1Image 2

It’s 5 years already. What a fruitful journey. I did quite well so far fortunately.
Let’s do little recap…Started investing in Singapore stocks and some US stocks. Had a wonderful starting year with triple digits returns every year, whether it’s bull or bear (only 2018 so far) markets. End of 2018 start to focus on HK listed companies. I might’ve jinx them that their index fell from peak 33000 when I enter to 28000 in the mist of bull market. Luckily, I did fine with all the riots, trade war, and virus.

I’ve bought a total of 28 companies so far in this 5 year. 4 of them are unprofitable which range from -7% to -34%, they are TianLi Education, Empire Snack, Fuyao, and Pinduoduo. Funny thing is, all of them would be very profitable if I had held them till today. Some were mistakes, some were sold because of opportunity cost which turned out great.

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Upcoming Webinar: Investment Opportunities in China’s Technology Sector

Upcoming Webinar: Investment Opportunities in China’s Technology Sector

The 10-year US Treasury yield reached a one-year high of 1.6% on the back of the approval of a US$1.9 Trillion COVID-19 aid package. It was the rate of increase that caused the market to be unsettled. The move higher in rates is unnerving investors fearing it could be driven by inflation rather than economic recovery.

In anticipation that the Fed might raise interest rates to curb runaway inflation, intense regulatory scrutiny on Chinese Tech firms and global vaccine rollout are some of the reasons why investors saw the Tech sectors retracted from their highs.

csop-webinar
Join us as we have 2 special guests, Adrian and Benjamin in this exclusive webinar on Chinese Tech companies!

Benjamin Chan is a technical and quantitative analyst with CGS-CIMB Research. Benjamin writes for the “HK Trendspotter”, CGS-CIMB’s regional technical analysis publication, and assists in the development & management of in-house quantitative trading/ investment models and strategies. Building on over 5 years of FX and financial markets experience, he also work alongside our Chief Investment Officer Lim Say Boon, researching the main FX pairs, contributing to our FX Weekly – a macro-economic background piece with outlook on the currency pairs, supported by technical analysis.

Adrian Chew is the Vice President, Sales and Product Strategy (S.E.A) at CSOP. At CSOP Asset Management, Adrian oversees ETF investment solutions for Brokers, Wealth Managers, and Family Offices in Singapore. Adrian is also part of a team responsible for developing sales strategy and strategic partnerships with institutions in South East Asia. Prior to joining CSOP Asset Management, he worked for RHB Asset Management where he was a Business Development Manager for mass and affluent Investors, Wealth Managers, and Intermediaries. Before that, Adrian was working for Phillip Securities and CGS-CIMB Securities in various roles, including equity advisory sales and trading, Business and Product Development.

Don’t miss this webinar! Slot availability is subjected to first-come, first-served basis.

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InvestingNote is the most interactive social network for investors in Malaysia & Singapore. Find out more about us here.

Download our free app here:

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Dividend Investing vs Options Income Strategy – 3Fs Strategy (Guest Post)

Dividend Investing vs Options Income Strategy – 3Fs Strategy (Guest Post)

I’ve been getting quite a bit of questions from some people who have been following my writing for some time and they noticed the recent strategy changes in my equity portfolio and so they wrote to me to understand the thinking behind the idea.

For those who are relatively new to my blog, my equity investing strategy for the past few years entails investing in dividend paying companies in the Singapore market (and more recently HKG market) while hoping for some sort of small growth as part of the overall capital appreciation.

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Brian Halim is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @3Fs and has 2261 followers.

I termed this as the “X+Y” strategy in my past article here or the “6+4″% strategy if you had attended my past talk during the 2018 BIGS Investing Conference.

Until today, I remain a huge believer of investing in dividend paying companies because of several fundamental factors which I will not talked about it in this article.

Like most people, my strategy evolves over time – and I am constantly opening my mind in pursuit of a better strategy that would fit my investing temperament and style better.

There is the CFD, a platform which I have been actively using for the past 4-5 years and activate whenever there is a huge market downturn and constraint for funds.

In the past year since I have also entered the US market, I have also tried out options investing and this will be the main topic which I will today compare and contrast the difference with dividend investing as both of them threw out similar characteristics in the form of cashflow.

I’ve been thinking for a while on how I can structure my answers logically because the strategy fits so well with my own philosophy that it feels very natural to me when implementing, yet it can be foreign to others.

I’ll try my best and hopefully it makes sense.

In this article, I’ll break down the comparison between these few categories:

  • Cash Flow Frequency
  • Predictability
  • Passiveness
  • Volatility
  • Risk Management
  • Leverage
  • Total Return



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