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Mapletree Commercial Trust’s Q2 and 1H FY2020/21 Results – Key Highlights and My Thoughts

Mapletree Commercial Trust’s Q2 and 1H FY2020/21 Results – Key Highlights and My Thoughts

Highlights of MapleTree Commercial Trust Results

3 Things You Need to Know About Mapletree Commercial Trust Before You Buy

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Lim Jun Yuan is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @ljunyuan and has 1412 followers.

Mapletree Commercial Trust, out of the other REITs, released its latest results in the evening (its results are for the second quarter and first half of the financial year 2020/21 – it has a year-end every 31 March.) Hence, yesterday was certainly busy for me, where 3 REITs in my long-term investment portfolio (you can check out a list of all the companies I have invested in here) released their latest financial results for the quarter ended 30 September 2020 – CapitaLand Mall Trust (for the third quarter, which you can check out here), and Suntec REIT (also for the third quarter, which you can read here) before market hours.

In my post today, I will be sharing key aspects you need to know about the REIT’s latest update – particularly its financial performance, debt, and portfolio occupancy profile, along with its distribution per unit. On top of that, you will also find my personal thoughts about the blue-chip REIT’s latest set of results peppered throughout the post.

Let’s get started…

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A Look into NYSE-listed Restaurant Brands International Inc. (NYSE:QSR)

A Look into NYSE-listed Restaurant Brands International Inc. (NYSE:QSR)

Restaurant Brands International might seem unfamiliar, but did you know Burger King and Popeyes are under RBI?

Restaurant Brands: A Growth Story Missing A Solid Base (NYSE:QSR) | Seeking Alpha

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Lim Jun Yuan is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @ljunyuan and has 1409 followers.

You may not hear of the NYSE-listed Restaurant Brands International Inc. (NYSE:QSR), but I am perfectly sure you have heard of the fast-food brands ‘Burger King’ and ‘Popeyes.’ Together with ‘Tim Hortons’, these three brands come under the company.

Here is some quick information about each of the three brands under the company:

1. Burger King – Founded in 1954, it is currently the world’s second-largest fast-food hamburger restaurant; as at the end of FY2019 (ended 31 December 2019), the company owns or franchises a total of 18,838 Burger King outlets in more than 100 countries and US territories. You can browse through its website here – www.bk.com.

2. Popeyes – Founded in 1972, they are the world’s second-largest quick-service chicken concept, with a total of 3,316 outlets (either owned or franchised) as at the end of FY2019 – you can find out more here – www.popeyes.com.

3. Tim Hortons – This is probably the only brand under the company that we Singaporeans are not familiar with. Established in 1964, with a menu consisting of premium blend coffee, tea, espresso-based hot and cold specialty drinks, along with fresh baked goods, grilled Panini and classic sandwiches, wraps, soups, prepared food, and other food products, there are currently 4,932 outlets (either owned or franchised) in North America and Canada – you can find out more in its website here – www.timhortons.com.

In the latest financial year ended 31 December 2019, Tim Hortons contributed a lion’s share towards the company’s total revenue (at US$3,344m or 59.7%), followed by Burger King (at US$1,777m or 31.7%), and then Popeyes (at US$482m or 8.6%.)

Now that you have a better understanding of Restaurant Brands International Inc.’s businesses, in the remainder of this post, let us take a look at its historical financial performance, debt profile, as well as its dividend payouts over the last 5 years (the period we will be looking at is between FY2015 and FY2019), its current-year results so far (i.e. 1H FY2020 ended 30 June 2020) compared against the previous year (i.e. 1H FY2019 ended 30 June 2019), and finally, whether or not the company’s current traded price is considered ‘cheap’ or ‘expensive’ based on its current vs. its historical valuations.

Let’s get started…

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The Clorox Company (NYSE:CLX) – Does the Company Make a Good Addition to Your Investment Portfolio?

The Clorox Company (NYSE:CLX) – Does the Company Make a Good Addition to Your Investment Portfolio?

Is The Clorox Company a good addition to your investment portfolio?

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Lim Jun Yuan is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as @ljunyuan and has 1408 followers.

NYSE-listed The Clorox Company (NYSE:CLX) has products on the supermarket shelves that clean and disinfect our homes. What with the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic, people have been stepping up their hygiene standards at home so as to protect themselves as well as their loved ones from being part of the Covid-19 statistic.

Apart from Clorox, some of the brands you should be familiar with (which is also from the company) include Glad’s range of plastic food wraps and food bags (you can check out their range of products on the website of supermarket retailers Cold Storage and Giant), Liquid-Plumr’s range of decloggers (again, you can check out the range of products sold in Singapore on the website of Cold Storage and Giant), as well as Burt’s Bees range of skincare products (you can check out their range of products on Sephora Singapore’s website here.)

In my writeup about The Clorox Company today, I will be sharing with you a bit more about the company’s other businesses, followed by looking at its historical financial performance, debt profile, and dividend payout to its shareholders over the past 6 financial years (as the company has a financial year-end every 30 June, I will be looking at its financial results between FY2014/15 and FY2019/20.) On top of that, I will also be sharing whether or not at its current traded price, is the company considered ‘cheap’ or ‘expensive’ based on its current vs. its historical valuations.

Let’s get started…

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MM2 Asia Stock Review – Potential Beneficiary from Economy Reopening?

MM2 Asia Stock Review – Potential Beneficiary from Economy Reopening?

Will MM2 Asia benefit from the reopening of the economy?

mm2 Asia to acquire Cathay Cineplexes for $230m after failed bid for Golden Village, Companies & Markets News & Top Stories - The Straits Times

This post was originally posted here. The writer, James Yeo is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @Smallcapasia and has 905 followers.

MM2 Asia is benefiting from the latest announcement of the Government’s green light to allow more patrons in cinemas. On 23 September 2020, the government announced that from Oct 1, large cinema halls with more than 300 seats will be allowed to admit up to 150 patrons in three zones of 50 patrons each.

On the other hand, smaller cinema halls will also be allowed to increase their capacity to 50 percent of their original operating capacity or maintain the current limit of up to 50 patrons per hall, subject to safe management measures.

For Cathay Cineplexes’ parent company – MM2 Asia, it would have breathed a sigh of relief that the worst is probably over as they can welcome more customers.

But that being said, the Cathay cinema is just 1 division of MM2 Asia as the latter owns many more integrated businesses across the content, immersive media, event, and concert industries across Asia.

Mm2 Asia Profile

mm2 Asia is a leading producer of films and TV/online content in Asia. As a producer, mm2 provides services over the entire film-making process – from financing and production to marketing and distribution, and thus has diversified revenue streams.

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Monster Beverage Corporation – What You Need to Know about the NASDAQ-listed Company

Monster Beverage Corporation – What You Need to Know about the NASDAQ-listed Company

Monster Beverage Corporation (NASDAQ:MNST) is in the business of developing, marketing, selling, and distributing energy drink beverages, as well as concentrates for energy drink beverages.

Monster Beverage Corporation's 'Monster Energy' Drinks. Photo by Christian Wiediger on Unsplash

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Lim Jun Yuan is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as @ljunyuan and has 1404 followers.

The company has three operating and reporting segments, namely:

(i) Monster Energy drinks and Reign Total Body high-performance energy drinks, where its range of products are sold in 148 countries and territories globally,

(ii) Strategic brands segment, which comprises of various energy drink brands acquired from The Coca Cola Company in 2015; its products are currently sold in 106 countries and territories globally,

(iii) Other segments, which comprises of certain products sold by American Fruits and Flavors LLC to independent third-party customers.

As for the company’s customer segments, as at the end of the financial year 2019 (ended 31 December 2019), they are as follows:

  • 58% – US full-service bottlers/distributors
  • 33% – International full-service bottlers/distributors
  • 7% – Club stores, mass merchandisers, and e-commerce retailers
  • 1% – Retail grocery, specialty chains, and wholesalers
  • 1% – Others

In the remainder of today’s post about Monster Beverage Corporation, you will read about its historical financial performance and debt profile (over a 5-year period), its key financial performance for the first half of the current financial year (compared against the same period last year), and finally, whether or not at its current share price, is the company considered ‘cheap’ or ‘expensive.’

Let’s begin…

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ThumbTack Fund Report 2 – Dancing Between The Raindrops

ThumbTack Fund Report 2 – Dancing Between The Raindrops

 Part 2 Of My Fund Report

Four steps to follow while investing during a pandemic

This post was originally posted here. The writer, ThumbTack Investor is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @ThumbTack Investor and has 3610 followers.

Fund Report part2; S&P weakened considerably since the inaugural TTF’s 1st report on the 28th Aug: https://thumbtackinvestor.wordpress.com/2020/09/06/thumbtack-fund-report-1-tough-times-dont-last-but-tough-funds-do/

That’s exactly what I’ve been doing in September.

I’ve managed to dance between the raindrops in the past month or so, as TTF continued to grow strongly, largely on the backs of just a couple of nicely timed positions.

1 of which is to enter into long positions in BBBY just the week before earnings release:

Time for some numbers:

TTF fund cumulative money weighted return since inception in Feb 2020: +25.66%, YTD returns: +25.45%

Total deposits: USD 165,913.77

Current NAV: USD 194,405.75

Quantum gain: USD 28,491.98

This compares favorably with the 3 benchmarks I use:

I’m pleased with how TTF managed to dance between the raindrops, bucking the trend and adding further gains in a volatile September, from a YTD return of +15.46% to the current +25.45%, adding 9.99% to the returns in September alone.

Since the last report about a month ago, SPY has dropped 2.32%, reflecting the correction in tech in September. VT has dropped 1.3% YTD, tracking the decline in S&P.

STI has remained fairly “resilient” by dropping only 0.43% in September, but then again, a -20.85% YTD return is scant comfort. I guess GOT wisdom applies here: “What is dead, may never die!”

TTF’s top 5 generals is a highly coveted list… and truth be told, I’m surprised that I’ve made changes to the 5 names more frequently than I expected to when I started in Feb.

Feb:

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Is China Railway Construction (01186.HK) a Bargain Buy, or a Value trap?

Is China Railway Construction (01186.HK) a Bargain Buy, or a Value trap?

China Railway Construction (“CRCC”) recently caught my attention as it has tumbled approximately 44% from an intraday high of $9.99 on 5 Mar 2020 to close HKD5.64 on 21 Sep 2020.

Is this a bargain buy, or a value trap? Let’s take a look.

china

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Ernest Lim is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as el15 and has 456  followers.

First up, a description of CRCC

Quoting from its 1HFY20 results, CRCC’s businesses cover a variety of construction, survey, design and consultation, manufacturing, real estate development, logistics and materials trading and other business with a refined industry chain covering scientific research, planning, survey, design, construction, supervision and management, maintenance, operation, investment and financing, etc.

Six reasons why CRCC catches my attention

1) 21 analysts cover CRCC with all buy calls; the average target price HKD12.00

Based on Figure 1 below, CRCC is widely covered by 21 analysts. It is noteworthy that all 21 analysts give a buy call on CRCC with an average target price of HKD12.00. This represents a potential capital appreciation of approximately 113%. The estimated dividend yield is around 5.0% hence the total potential upside may amount to 118%!

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An In-depth look at Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE:MA)

An In-depth look at Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE:MA)

Mastercard Takes B2B Payments To The Smartphone - Mastercard Launches SME Commercial Card App | PYMNTS.com

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Lim Jun Yuan is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as ljunyuan and has 1386  followers.

Today, let us take an in-depth look at its direct competitor, Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE:MA).

Just like Visa, Mastercard Incorporated is also in the business of connecting consumers, financial institutions, merchants, governments, digital partners, businesses and other organizations worldwide, enabling them to use electronic forms of payment through their family of well-known brands, including Mastercard, Maestro, and Cirrus.

Currently, the company’s payment network spans more than 150 currencies, and in over 210 countries and territories.

Their core products include:

(i) Consumer Credit – where there are a number of programs available to provide consumers with credit that allow them to defer payment

(ii) Consumer Debit – which can be used to make purchases, as well as obtain cash in bank branches, at ATMs, and also at the point of sales

(iii) Prepaid – a type of electronic payment that allows consumers to pay in advance, regardless of whether they have a bank account or credit history

(iv) Commercial – provides payment products and solutions that help large corporations, midsize companies, small businesses. and government entities

In the remainder of this post, you will read about the NYSE-listed company’s historical financial performance, debt profile, as well as dividend payout over a 5-year period (between FY2015 and FY2019 – the company has a financial year-end every 31 December), its current-year results so far (compared against the previous year), and finally, a look at whether the current share price is deemed to be cheap or expensive.

Let’s begin…

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Does PayPal Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PYPL) Make a Good Addition to Your Investment Portfolio? (GUEST POST)

Does PayPal Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PYPL) Make a Good Addition to Your Investment Portfolio? (GUEST POST)

If you have been shopping online, then the name PayPal should sound familiar to you – as some of the merchants make use of the digital payment platform to accept payments from their customers.

PayPal completes GoPay acquisition, allowing the payments platform to enter China | TechCrunch

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Lim Jun Yuan is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as ljunyuan and has 1386  followers.

Before you continue reading today’s post, a disclaimer: I am currently invested in the company I am going to talk about today – PayPal Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PYPL). But having said that, as always, rest assured I will be impartial in my analysis of the company.

I’m sure the name PayPal is not one that’s alien to you – especially to those of you who have shopped online before, you should have come across it when making payments, as some merchants make use of its digital payment platform to accept payments from their customers (for a small fee.)

From my understanding in its FY2019 annual report (for the financial year ended 31 December 2019), the company currently has 281 million customer active accounts and 24 million merchant active accounts across more than 200 markets worldwide. The company also owns Braintree (a company based in Chicago in the United States that specializes in mobile and web payment systems for e-commerce companies, which was acquired by PayPal in September 2013), Venmo (a mobile payment service that allows for the transfer of funds between its app users), and Xoom (a platform that facilitates the sending of money, paying of bills, and reloading of mobile phones from the United States and Canada to 131 countries worldwide; the company was acquired by PayPal in November 2015.)

Among the various means that PayPal Holdings Inc. generates its revenue from include:

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The Curious Case Of SIA’s Price Action After Ex-Rights (Guest post)

The Curious Case Of SIA’s Price Action After Ex-Rights (Guest post)

I am not sure if there are any fellow investors who find the price action of SIA (Singapore Airlines) pretty weird yesterday, the first day it went ex-rights. The stock actually appreciated more than 20+%!

screen-shot-2020-05-06-at-10-41-35-am

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Royston Tan is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as Royston_Tan.

SIA RIGHTS: THE CURIOUS CASE OF ITS PRICE ACTION

SIA went ex-rights today and there was some pretty weird action in its share price which I can’t seem to understand. I have previously written this article: SIA Rights Issue: Debunking the complication behind the Math. In that article, I tried to “simplify” the seemingly complicated SIA rights issue announcement and more importantly, look to calculate what might the trading price be for the Rights and the MCBs when they start trading on the bourse.

SIA’S VALUE WENT UP BY 26% OVERNIGHT?
SIA’s share price closed at S$5.91 yesterday. This morning, it went ex-rights. First I believe that the “Rights” here includes both the 1) Right Shares as well as 2) the Rights MCBs.

SIA previously calculated that the Theoretical ex-rights Price (TERP) was S$4.40/share based on the last traded price of S$6.50 before the announcement of the intended rights issue was made. This TERP only includes the Rights Share component, based on the issuance of approx 1.78bn shares.

I shown that the calculation of the TERP price was as such:

At S$6.50/share with 1.18bn of outstanding shares, the market cap of SIA is S$7.67bn.

With the issuance of 1.78bn rights shares, the total number of shares will increase to 2.96bn. Total amount of capital raised = 1.78bn * S$3.00 = S$5.34bn.

So post rights issuance market value of SIA = (existing market cap (S$7.67bn) + new cash raised (S$5.34bn)) / total number of new shares (2.96bn) = S$4.40/share.

Based on the last closing price of S$5.91 which indicates a market cap of S$6.97bn, the TERP should be (existing market cap(S$6.97bn) + new cash raised (S$5.34bn))/the total number of new shares (2.96bn) = S$4.16/share.

This morning, SIA’s share price open at S$4.20 which is around the calculated TERP. However, it traded up to as high as S$5.04 and as of this writing, it is at S$4.77.

The current price of S$4.77 is even higher than the TERP price of S$4.40 base on a pre-ex-rights price of S$6.50. The current S$4.77 price would indicate a pre-ex-rights price of S$7.44! WoW. Overnight, SIA’s price/share has increased from S$5.91 to S$7.44 which is an appreciation of 26%! What is going on here?

Seriously, I am not sure what the market is thinking at this moment pertaining to SIA. In the analysis above, I have also excluded the impact of the MCBs which should indicate a much lower TERP of S$4.16/share. Granted that these MCBs are not convertible to shares immediately. I have previously calculated that the ex-right price after all the conversions would have been in the arena of S$3.71/share based on the last closing price of S$5.91.

What is going to happen if the share price of SIA stays at S$4.77 when the rights are converted to shares (on the 8 June)?

Let’s assume that an investor bought 1000 shares of SIA yesterday at S$5.91/share. The total outlay will be S$5,910 (excluding comms etc). For 1000 shares, he will be entitled to 1,500 right shares. He can exercise the rights, paying S$3/rights, and convert them into actual shares.

His total outlay will be S$10,410 (S$5,910 + S$4,500) and he is now the proud owner of 2,500 SIA shares. At S$4.77/share, that will equate to a market value of S$11,925 which is a quick profit of S$1,515. In addition, he will still have 2,950 Rights MCB which should be worth some value when they are tradeable.

I last calculated that value to be approx S$0.37/Rights MCB. 2,950 of them will equate to another S$1,091 in value. Total profit could be a hefty S$2,606 based on an outlay of S$10,410 or a quick turnaround of 25%! Even if I am wrong in the calculation of the Rights MCB value, it cannot be negative.

Hence an investor who bought SIA shares at S$5.91/share before the ex-right date (which is May 6) will be able to pocket at least S$1,515/share if the share price remains at S$4.77/share when his rights are converted to shares. Alternatively, if he is concern that the share price might decline from the current level, he can hedge and lock in the profit by shorting the counter (perhaps through CFDs or borrowed shares) until his rights are converted to actual shares.

if SIA’s share price is lower at that point, his hedges make money. If SIA’s share price is higher at that point, he can offset the losses on his hedges with his actual shares which are now worth more.

There could be other factors in play that might explain the price action of SIA such as potential redemption of short positions driving its share price up or the market all of a sudden became extremely positive over this rights issue. Bloomberg claims it could be due to hopes of easing lockdowns.

Already there are casualties in the market. The daily leverage -5x counter of SIA has been suspended as the underlying price has appreciated more than 20% from their theoretical adjusted price of S$3.71 which means that losses are now in excess 100% for this leverage product.

SIA RIGHTS: KEY TIMELINE

6 May: Ex-rights

13 May to 21 May: Rights and MCBs are being traded on the bourse

28 May: If you still own the Rights or MCBs (as original SIA shareholders who are entitled to it or if you purchase on the open market), this will be the last day for subscription. You can pay for your rights through the ATM if your SIA shares are held under your own CDP or pay it through your custodian broker account.

8 June: Rights share will start trading (if you have subscribe to your rights by paying S$3/rights, you will now have additional SIA shares)

9 June: If you have subscribe to your Rights MCBs at S$1/MCB, your rights will be converted into bonds which are also traded.

CONCLUSION
This has really been an eye opener and frankly a development which i did not expect.

SIA’s market cap has just appreciated by 26% overnight!

For readers who have more insights pertaining to this “unique” situation, do feel free to share your thoughts here.

Once again, this article is a guest post and was originally posted on Royston_Tans profile on InvestingNote. 

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