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SGX drops for 12th consecutive day, longest losing streak since IPO! (20 Oct 22)

SGX drops for 12th consecutive day, longest losing streak since IPO! (20 Oct 22)

Since 4 Oct 2022, SGX has fallen for 12 consecutive sessions, logging its longest losing streak since IPO in 2000! Over the past 12 sessions, SGX has lost a total of 12.5%, or $1.19 to close at $8.33 on 20 Oct 2022. It is noteworthy that STI has only fallen 3.7% over the same period. In addition, SGX’s RSI closed 13.3, the lowest since 2008!

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Ernest Lim is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @el15 and has close to 600 followers.

Some noteworthy points below

a) Average analyst target: $10.08

Based on Bloomberg (see Fig 1 below), average analyst target price is around $10.08. If consensus is right and assuming that analysts do not change their target prices, SGX offers a potential capital upside of around 21%. Coupled with an estimated dividend yield of around 3.9%, total potential return is around 25%.

For the eagle eye readers, you will have noticed that since 10 Oct, there have been mixed analyst calls. To some extent, the recent decline can be attributed to the recent sell calls on SGX with target prices ranging from $8.00 – 9.25.

Figure 1: Bloomberg compilation of analyst target prices for SGX

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Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Trading Strategy Guide

Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Trading Strategy Guide

The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern is a chart pattern that has fooled many traders (I’ll explain why shortly).

However, if traded correctly, it allows you to identify high probability breakout trades, catch the start of a new trend, and even “predict” market bottoms ahead of time. 

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Rayner Teo is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @Rayner and has close to 800 followers.

Want to learn more? 

Then read on…

What is an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern?

The Inverse Head and Shoulders is a bullish chart pattern that signals the buyers are in control.

Here’s how it looks like…

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How to Identify Trend Reversal in the Markets With Zero Indicators (Guest post)

How to Identify Trend Reversal in the Markets With Zero Indicators (Guest post)

Do you want to know how to identify trend reversal ahead of time, guaranteed?

Well, it doesn’t exist.

No trading system or methodology can.

However…

The closest thing you’ll get is to learn how to read the price action and identify potential areas where the market could reverse.

And this is what you’ll learn in today’s post:

Ready?

Then let’s begin…

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Rayner Teo is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @Rayner and has 617 followers.

How to identify trend reversal — identify weakness in the trending move

First, let me define what a trending move is…

A trending move is the “stronger” leg of a trend and it trades in the same direction of it (that’s why I call it trending move).

The trending move (in a healthy uptrend) usually has more bullish than bearish candles; the bullish candles are relatively larger than the bearish ones, and the bullish candles closing near the highs

An example:


However:

When the bullish candles are getting smaller, it’s telling you the buying pressure is getting weak, or there is equal selling pressure coming in.

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Turtle Trading Rules: Does It Still Work Today? (guest post)

Turtle Trading Rules: Does It Still Work Today? (guest post)

In 1983, two commodity traders, Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt experimented to see if trading is an inborn skill or it can be taught.

So they conducted interviews to find people who were the right fit.

A few lucky candidates were selected for the program—they were known as the turtle traders.

Next, Richard Dennis gave the turtle traders a fixed set of trading rules to trade the markets (using his money).

The result?

It was astonishing! Several turtle traders made triple-digit returns within a few short years and some even went on the set up their own hedge funds.

Clearly, the turtle trading rules worked well in the 1980s.

But the question is:

Do the turtle trading rules still work today?

Well, that’s what you’re about to discover in this post.

So let’s get started…

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Rayner Teo is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @Rayner and has 617 followers.

Turtle trading strategy: The original rules and results

Turtle trading is basically a trend following strategy for the futures market.

Here are the rules of the turtle trading strategy:

  • Entry: Buy when the price breaks above the 20-day high
  • Stop loss: 2 ATR from the entry price
  • Trailing stop loss: 10-day low
  • Risk management: 2% of your account
  • Vice versa for short trades

Markets traded:

  • Bonds & Interest Rates: 30-Year US Treasury Bond, 10-Year US Treasury Bond, Eurodollar, 90-Day US Treasury Bill
  • Commodities: Coffee, Cocoa, Sugar, Cotton, Gold, Silver, Copper
  • Energy: Crude Oil, Heating Oil, Unleaded Gas
  • Currencies: Swiss Franc, Deutschmark, British Pound, French Franc, Japanese Yen, Canadian Dollar

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How to Use Trailing Stop Loss: 5 Powerful Techniques That Work (Guest Post)

How to Use Trailing Stop Loss: 5 Powerful Techniques That Work (Guest Post)

What is a trailing stop loss?


This post was originally posted here. The writer, Rayner Teo is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with a username known as @Rayner and has 613 followers.

Have you ever wondered how professional traders ride big trends?

You know the type of trend that keeps going higher and your profit keeps snowballing — while you do nothing.

Well, the secret is this…

They use a trailing stop loss.

You’re thinking:

“It doesn’t work.”

“I’ve used it before but the market always hit my stop loss before it trends.”

That’s because:

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Most Traders Will Tell You To Stay Away From Indicators (Guest Post)

Most Traders Will Tell You To Stay Away From Indicators (Guest Post)

Learn how to switch gears and use different indicators for different market conditions. Indicators are a derivative of price. They simply indicate to you what has happened, not what will happen. So you’ll never be a profitable trader if you solely rely on trading indicators to make your decisions.

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Rayner Teo is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as Rayner and has 329 followers.

Volatile stock markets are an option trader's dream — here's how ...

Most traders will tell you to stay away from indicators.
They give you reasons like:
  • It lags the market
  • It gives you late entries
  • It can’t predict what the markets will do

Nope, those are excuses.

Want to know the real reason why traders lose money with indicators?

Here’s why…

You got conned into the “indicators game”

Many traders don’t know how this game is supposed to be played.

They believe the answer lies in the “right” combination of indicators that will make them rich.

So they buy the latest trading indicators to help them crack the code.

And after many failed attempts, they wonder why they lose money with trading indicators.

Do you want to know why?

Here’s the truth…

Indicators are a derivative of price. They simply indicate to you what has happened, not what will happen.

So, no matter how many different combinations you try, you’ll never be a profitable trader if you solely rely on trading indicators to make your decisions.

Trading indicators are meant to aid your decision-making process, not be the decision-maker.

Trading indicators: Do you make this mistake?

Look at the chart below…

Now, you might be thinking…

“Look how strong the signal is.”

“All three indicators are pointing in the same direction.”

“The market is about to move higher.”

Sorry to burst your bubble.

But that’s the wrong way to use trading indicators.

Why?

Because the RSI, CCI, and Stochastic indicator belong to the same category (otherwise known as Oscillators).

This means the values of these indicators are calculated using similar mathematical formulas — which explains why their lines move in the same direction.

So don’t make the mistake of thinking a signal is “strong” because multiple indicators confirm it. Chances are, they are indicators from the same category.

You blindly copy what others do

Here’s the thing:

There are profitable traders out there who use indicators in their trading.

And you’re probably thinking:

“Since they are making money with these indicators, why don’t I just copy them?”

So, that’s what you do.

You follow the same indicators, settings, instructions, etc.

But, you still lose money with trading indicators.

Why?

Because what you see is only the surface, not the complete picture.

Here’s an example:

Let’s say Michael is a profitable trader who relies on trading indicators to time his entries and exits.

Now, the reason why Michael finds success with indicators is not that he found the “perfect” settings or whatsoever.

Rather, it’s because he knows how to switch gears and use different indicators for different market conditions.

So if you were to blindly follow what he does, then when the market changes, your trading indicators will stop working and that’s when the bleeding starts.

 

How professional traders use indicators (it’s not what you think)

At this point, you’ve learned that trading indicators shouldn’t be the basis of your analysis and why you shouldn’t copy other traders.

So now the question is, how do you use trading indicators the correct way?

The secret is this…

You want to classify trading indicators according to their purpose, then use the appropriate trading indicators for the right purpose.

So, what’s the purpose of trading indicators?

Well, you can use them to:

  1. Filter for market conditions
  2. Identify areas of value
  3. Time your entries
  4. Manage your trades

Let me explain…

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Upcoming Workshop: Applying The Multiple Time Frame Analysis To Stocks

Upcoming Workshop: Applying The Multiple Time Frame Analysis To Stocks

What Is Multiple Time-Frame Analysis?

Multiple time-frame analysis involves monitoring the same currency pair across different frequencies (or time compressions). While there is no real limit as to how many frequencies can be monitored or which specific ones to choose, there are general guidelines that most practitioners will follow.

Typically, using three different periods gives a broad enough reading on the market, while using fewer than this can result in a considerable loss of data, and using more typically provides redundant analysis. When choosing the three time frequencies, a simple strategy can be to follow a “rule of four.” This means that a medium-term period should first be determined and it should represent a standard as to how long the average trade is held. From there, a shorter term time frame should be chosen and it should be at least one-fourth the intermediate period (for example, a 15-minute chart for the short-term time frame and 60-minute chart for the medium or intermediate time frame). Through the same calculation, the long-term time frame should be at least four times greater than the intermediate one (so, keeping with the previous example, the 240-minute or four-hour chart would round out the three time frequencies).

This method can also work for the stock market, and this technical analysis workshop for intermediate traders will show you how.

mfta

In this workshop, you’ll learn about:
✔ Understanding the types of markets and how it impacts your strategies
✔ Incorporating different timeframes into your trading to maximise your trades
✔ The one most important thing that professionals use to test their and verify their strategies
✔ How to utilise two simple technical analysis tools effectively that usually outperform complicated tools
✔ Habits and daily regimes of successful traders that every trader needs to know and follow

There will also be live chart trading examples to highlight the importance of multiple time frame analysis, that can be applied for the stock market.

You can look forward to upgrade your trading skillset in this 3-hour workshop on 2 Nov, Saturday 10am – 2pm.

This exclusive event is free to attend and sponsored by City Index.

Register now, come later! 

button_register-here


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How To Use Trend Line Correctly! (Guest Post)

How To Use Trend Line Correctly! (Guest Post)

This post, How To Use Trend Line Correctly! was originally posted here. The writer is a veteran community member on InvestingNote, with username known as Rayner.

Trend Line is one of the most versatile tools in trading.

You can use it in day trading, swing trading or even position trading.

However, most traders get it wrong.

They draw Trend Lines looking like this…

I know I’m exaggerating, but you get my point.

That’s why in today’s post, you’ll learn:

  • What is a Trend Line and how does it work
  • How to draw a Trend Line correctly (that most traders never find out)
  • How to use Trend Line to identify the direction of the trend — and tell when the market condition has changed
  • How to use Trend Line to better time your entries
  • The Trend Line Breakout strategy
  • How to ride massive trends using a simple Trend Line technique
  • How to use Trend Line and identify trend reversal

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Workshop Recap: 市场剧烈震荡,如何避免市场陷阱,实现稳定获利 | Stock Trading Workshop

Workshop Recap: 市场剧烈震荡,如何避免市场陷阱,实现稳定获利 | Stock Trading Workshop

We had our first workshop conducted in Chinese for our monthly workshop series last Friday!

Even though the workshop size is reduced, we still had a full house!

Conducted by Dr. Robin Han, this workshop offered a different perspective of trading in the market – using market psychology and game theory.

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We’d like to thank everyone who attended and supported us through this workshop. We also hope all attendees had some great takeaways in which they can use in their own trading!

Check out Dr. Robin Han’s latest insights about the markets here.

To use Technical Analysis (TA) tools for free on our platform, check out this link.

For more information on how to use our platform as well as the charting tool tutorial (see #6), use this link.


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市场剧烈震荡,如何避免市场陷阱,实现稳定获利 | Stock Trading Workshop

市场剧烈震荡,如何避免市场陷阱,实现稳定获利 | Stock Trading Workshop

Our monthly workshop series is back!

This time, it’s all about technical trading, conducted entirely in Chinese!

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Let’s see if you could relate with the following below:

你常常一买就跌,一卖就涨吗?

你常常觉得市场非常难以捉摸,并总是与你作对吗?

你常常“高买,低卖”吗?

你学了大量的基本分析和技术分析的知识,但还是常常亏损惨重吗?

你想要取得“低风险,高回报”,而不是“高风险,高回报”吗?

你想要在当前大幅波动的市场中,看准方向,抓住更多的机会吗?

本次讲座将会分享:

  1. 如何系统的避免“一买就跌,一卖就涨”的噩梦?
  2. 如何用博弈(Game Theory)的观点,剖析市场的本质,抓住获利的核心?
  3. 如何炼成火眼金睛,避免假消息,假财报的毒害?
  4. 如何透过重重迷雾和假象,找到真正值得投资的股票?
  5. 如何以较低的风险去交换大得多的潜在获利,助你成为长期赢家?
  6. 当场实践学习成果,马上学以致用
  7. 韩博士也会展望接下来市场的走势并分析当下最具有投资机会的股票

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