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CoronaVirus Epidemic: How Far Is The Impact on Stock Markets?

CoronaVirus Epidemic: How Far Is The Impact on Stock Markets?

The CoronaVirus that originated from Wuhan has just been declared a global health emergency by WHO. The global death toll and confirmed cases are mounting.

 

As of 7th February Friday morning, number of confirmed cases globally surpassed 30,000.

The number of cases in China grew by 3,143 (11%), on the previous day.

An infographic by The Business Times measures the impact of the virus statistically:

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We asked some of our veteran traders and investors and this is what they have to say:

William Liu & Robin Han‘s take (presented in mandarin):

ValueInvestAsia & Li Guang Sheng‘s take:

Brennen Pak‘s take:

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Stay safe everyone!

Become a part of our community and also see what other investors are saying about the current market right now: (click on the view now button)

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InvestingNote is the first and largest social network for investors in Singapore. Find out more about us here.

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Some Info I Looked into on Elite Commercial REIT (Guest Post)

Some Info I Looked into on Elite Commercial REIT (Guest Post)

Elite Commercial REIT has all the right metrics you would look for in a worthy Reit to invest in. Great looking yield, long wale, low debt to asset, freehold property and a tenant that looks like someone who you expect to be the last to default on their rent.

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Kyith is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as Kyith and 800+ followers.

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Sometimes it is either I overthink things or that I am absolutely right to be a little more skeptical.

Private equity firm Elite Partners is looking to IPO Elite Commercial Reit. A lot of the context for how to look at this REIT is shaped by the people associated with supporting this REIT.

My mode is wary for two reasons:

  1. The guys working on these deals try to sense the market and priced it accordingly. At this point (23 Jan), we don’t even have a sensing what is the range of yield we will get. It feels to me they are trying to gauge interest from the larger investors to see how to price this. If this REIT has high-quality assets yet the IPO prices the REIT at a high yield, either the banks advising and the people themselves have a lack of confidence or that there is something we don’t know about this portfolio
  2. The people behind it

That said, it doesn’t mean I am always right in the short term.

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Traders Dashboard: How Traders Think & Trade Daily

Traders Dashboard: How Traders Think & Trade Daily

Ever wondered how traders think and trade on a daily basis?

Behind the numbers, charts and complexities?

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For the first time ever, a group of traders have come forth with demystifying complex stock market happenings through in-depth analysis and breakdowns, so that you don’t have to.

Join this exclusive club where a group of traders including veteran expert @Li_Guang_Sheng, share regular updates on happenings in the global market and how these influence their daily trading and investment decisions.

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As a member of this Club, here’s what you will get daily from the group of traders, called the Traders Guild:

✔ Market direction – They look at economic data, monetary policy, interest rates and sentiment so that we know what’s happening around the world. They monitor news flow to keep surprises at a minimum. They assess what it all means for our trading & investment portfolios.

✔ Trading – Discuss their trading ideas, how they discover them, how they approach potential entry, stop-loss & exit points & the corresponding price action signals they look for.

✔ Investing – They look at beaten down assets, stocks at highs, IPOs, rights issues and decide whether we would take any action.

Club members will have the edge, from the Traders Guild’s observations of daily price action!

Get a 7 Day FREE-Trial and 20% OFF every month afterwards by using this promo code: DASH

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Activate your Free-trial and come see the Club for yourself now!

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InvestingNote is the first and largest social network for investors in Singapore. Find out more about us here.

Download our free app here:

apple   android

New Oriental Education – This Company Grows at 138% In The Past 12 Months (Guest Post)

New Oriental Education – This Company Grows at 138% In The Past 12 Months (Guest Post)

This is a company that has returned 138% in the last 12 months for investors as the company is looking to grow even more in the next few years which spells opportunities if you are looking into a growth play.

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Brian Halim is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as 3Fs and 1800+ followers.

The company last closed at it’s historical high at $122.72 and it is continuing to grow at a very fast double digit topline growth in the next few years.

Company Overview

Founded in 1993, New Oriental Education & Tech Group (NYSE: EDU) is the largest provider of private educational services in China. The company has an extensive network of over 1,261 learning centres that span across 56 different cities. New Oriental was the first successful Chinese educational institution to be listed in the New York Stock Exchange through their public offering back in 2016 and it has a market capitalization of over USD14 billion today.

The company has a substantial presence in Beijing, Shanghai and Wuhan, where combined they have a total presence of 245 learning centres, or close to 20% of their entire portfolio.

Beijing: Beijing has one of the fastest growing population in China, as the number of people living in the city grew from 13.5m in 2000 to 20.1m in 2019 (source: worldpopulationreview). In terms of GDP per capita, Beijing has also outperformed the rest of the cities by growing at more than 8% per annum, despite the ongoing Trade Wars threatening the slowdown of their growing nation.

Shanghai: Shanghai currently ranks first in terms of population density as the modern revolutionized city appeals to International expats and locals to come to Shanghai for both work and live. It currently houses a population of about 26m but has the infrastructure capacity to double its living population in the city to 50m by 2050 (source: shine.cn) through their urbanization transformation in the region and strong economic growth.

Wuhan: Wuhan is a surprise inclusion because of its strong economic growth and infrastructure transformation over the years, the city has recorded one of the highest rate of historic population growth over the years (source: wiki-wuhan). To date, their population stands at about 10.6m, which is about half the population size of Beijing.

Financial Performance

Revenue has increased by 26.5% year on year from $2.4m in FY2018 to $3.1m in FY2019 and has grown at a CAGR of 19.8% over 5 years.

This is mainly due to both the organic aspect of growth (152 new facilities and learning centres added in FY2019) as well as inorganic growth through the successful implementation of the optimization strategy coming in from the K-12 After-School Tutoring division and U-Can Middle School, which grow by 28.5% and 27.2% respectively.

Gross Profit margins continued to remain resilient at 55.5% in FY2019, despite coming in slightly lower than the 5-year average of 57.3%.

As the company seek to embark on its expansion plan, the company has correspondingly incurred higher costs for marketing and other SG&A related costs such as salary and rent as there are higher headcounts to account for.

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Why OCBC Q3FY19 Profit Results Might Fall Double-Digit Percentage YoY (Guest Post)

Why OCBC Q3FY19 Profit Results Might Fall Double-Digit Percentage YoY (Guest Post)

OCBC is scheduled to announced its results on the 5th Nov (Tuesday morning) before the start of market trading.

This post was originally posted here. The writer, Brian Halim is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as 3Fs and 1800+ followers.

UOB announced its Q3 results this morning which gives a big hint of what is to come for the other two banks.

The drop in NIM and increase in NPA is worst than expected, and if not for the loan growth segment in the Singapore that helps, it might look like a worsen Q3.

This is 5 reasons why I think OCBC Q3 FY19 profit results are going to fall double-digit in terms of percentage year on year.

1) Net Interest Margin Compressed QoQ and YoY

In FY18, OCBC’s Net Interest Income contributes 60% to their total revenue while Non-Interest Income contributes the rest of the other 40%, so we’ll approximately use that as a gauge.

Q2FY19 Net Interest Income came in at $1,588m while Q3FY18 Net Interest Income came in at $1,505m.

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One stock that gave more than 30% in 3 months, even amidst the Trade War

One stock that gave more than 30% in 3 months, even amidst the Trade War

Lately, markets around the world have been volatile because of the ongoing Trade War.

Fears of recession amidst the trade war have been looming since the last few months.

But, we found one company that still managed to shine bright.

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In fact, it shined very, very bright.

What is this company, what exactly does it do and what are the returns like?

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US And China Trade War Escalates. What Are The Implications?

US And China Trade War Escalates. What Are The Implications?

What is the Situation?

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On Friday, 23rd August, Trump said in a tweet that U.S. companies “are hereby ordered to immediately start looking for an alternative to China, including bringing your companies HOME and making your products in the USA. ” It was not immediately clear under what authority or how the president could implement such orders. On the same day, China announced plans to impose additional duties on $75 billion worth of American goods on Sept. 1 and Dec. 15. In response, U.S President Donald Trump tweeted later that day his administration would also raise tariffs on $550 billion of Chinese imports. The latest round of tariff announcements in the last few days means that by the end of the year, essentially all Chinese goods exported to the U.S. will be subject to duties based on sources from CNBC.

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Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 12 August 2019 (Guest Post)

Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 12 August 2019 (Guest Post)

Technical Analysis of FTSE ST REIT Index (FSTAS8670)

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This post was originally posted here. The writer, Kenny Loh is a veteran community member and blogger on InvestingNote, with username known as marubozu and 700+ followers.

FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trusts (FTSE ST REITIndex)broke outfrom the 10 years resistance at 875 with significant increase in trading volume. The REIT index is currently retracing from the high 941.77 to 895.14 (-4.95%). Next immediate support zone is between 870 to 875 for a healthy correction. Previous chart on FTSE ST REIT index can be found in the last postSingapore REIT Fundamental Comparison Tableon July 1, 2019.

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Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 1 July 2019 (Guest Post)

Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 1 July 2019 (Guest Post)

Technical Analysis of FTSE ST REIT Index (FSTAS8670). FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trusts (FTSE ST REITIndex)broke out from the 10 years resistance at 875 with significant increase in trading volume. The REIT index increased from 858.67 to 916.95 (+6.78%) and as compared to last post onSingapore REIT Fundamental Comparison Tableon June 3, 2019.

The REIT index is entering in an uncharted territory after breaking new high and may head towards to 1000 points based on projection of 161.8% Fibonacci level. Based on the current chart pattern and and momentum, the sentiment is BULLISH and the trend for Singapore REIT direction is stillUP.However, the REIT index may go for a short term pause before moving higher.

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